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	<title>Some stuff &#187; liquidity</title>
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		<title>liquidity</title>
		<link>https://blog.yhuang.org/?p=1311</link>
		<comments>https://blog.yhuang.org/?p=1311#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 06 Apr 2014 06:34:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[function]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HFT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liquidity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market impact]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monotonic function]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Probability theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[spread]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allegro.mit.edu/~zong/wpress/?p=1311</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Is there a standard definition? Does it have a unit? Is it even a number? I&#8217;m going to take a stab. Without loss of generality I&#8217;ll define liquidity availability for buying (selling is analogous), as a unitless function over transaction amount and time limit . Operationally, it means to take amount of a tradable asset, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Is there a standard definition? Does it have a unit? Is it even a number?</p>
<p>I&#8217;m going to take a stab. Without loss of generality I&#8217;ll define liquidity availability for buying (selling is analogous), as a unitless function \(L($,s)\) over transaction amount \($\) and time limit \(s\). Operationally, it means to take \($\) amount of a tradable asset, convert into number of shares \(N\) at the current price (assume it exists) and request to transact \($\) using all possible algorithms that complete in \(s\) seconds and find the one that got the most shares \(N^*\), then \(L($,s) = N^*/N\), a number between 0 and about 1 (for most cases). The larger it is, the more liquidity there is at the \(($,s)\) pair. \(L\) is monotonically decreasing in \($\) and monotonically increasing in \(s\).<br />
<span id="more-1311"></span><br />
(Note: This notion of liquidity is more general than some others out there, e.g. in <a href="http://publications.csail.mit.edu/abstracts/abstracts07/jwkim/jwkim.html">this</a>, the price impact of a market order is equivalent to \(L($,0)\), the execution time of a limit order is the solution for \(s\) to \(L($,s)=\ell\) for some \(\ell\) (*), and the execution probability of the same is the probability that (*) has a solution.)</p>
<p><strong>Example 1.</strong> Say the current bid-ask is $99-$101, so assume the price is $100. Say the ask side of an orderbook has 5 shares at $101 and 5 shares at $102. Now I place a market buy order for $1000, so 5 shares will take $101, and 4.85 shares will take $102 (we&#8217;ll allow fractional shares). We end up with 9.85 shares, for a liquidity availability of 0.985 at $1000 and 0 seconds.</p>
<p><strong>Example 2.</strong> Same setup as above, now I am willing to wait 5 seconds to transact, so assume the best strategy (which can&#8217;t be known a priori of course) is to put in a limit order for 10.10 shares at $99, which gets filled by a seller moving down to $99 within 5 seconds. Then the liquidity availability is 1.010 at $1000 and 5 seconds.</p>
<p><strong>Example 3.</strong> Same setup as above, but now an HFT market maker steps in to quote $99.99-$100.01 with 1 share on each side. (100 times smaller spread!) I&#8217;m still willing to wait 5 seconds to transact, but say the market maker has the capability to react in 100 milliseconds to any buy order by buying up the 5 shares at $101 and the 5 shares at $102, and re-offering 10 shares at $103. Then there are two regimes. If I can complete my order in under 100 milliseconds, then I get 1 share at $100.01, 5 shares at $101, and 3.87 shares at $102 for a liquidity availability of 0.987; otherwise, I get 1 share at $100.01, and 8.74 shares at $103 for a liquidity availability of only 0.974.</p>
<p>So has the market maker increased or decreased liquidity? It turns out the market maker increased liquidity only at HFT time scales, and decreased liquidity at all coarser time scales to worse than the 0-second liquidity of Example 1, distorted or at least obscured natural supply/demand, increased volatility, and cost me more money.</p>
<p>These are illustrative thought experiments, so take with a grain of salt. But I do wonder when people throw around the word liquidity and claim they&#8217;ve increased it, have they even defined it? Or when they claim they&#8217;ve reduced costs, have they done real experiments of the sort above? If neither, then what are they talking about? Why should I believe them? At the very least, it should be emphasized that liquidity or cost are <em>not</em> defined by the visible market spread, which only indicates the cost of transacting at the time scale of the most dominant market participants, in this case, HFT&#8217;s. That spread is irrelevant to investors if prices can move faster than their order completion.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>it&#8217;s happening&#8230;</title>
		<link>https://blog.yhuang.org/?p=119</link>
		<comments>https://blog.yhuang.org/?p=119#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sep 2008 21:22:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[balance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liquidity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[money markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[new money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[treasury]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[treasury bills]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[treasury department]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scripts.mit.edu/~zong/wpress/?p=119</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Treasury sells $40 billion in bills for Fed at 0.30% The Treasury Department issued $40 billion in 35-day cash management bills Wednesday at a rate of 0.30%. Proceeds from the sale will immediately be transferred to the Federal Reserve to fund its operations to improve liquidity in money markets. The sale was needed to help [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/treasury-sells-40-billion-bills/story.aspx?guid=%7B2D90ADBB%2D4FD7%2D4154%2D8B7D%2D064AE5561B84%7D&#038;dist=msr_6">Treasury sells $40 billion in bills for Fed at 0.30%</a></p>
<blockquote><p>
The Treasury Department issued $40 billion in 35-day cash management bills Wednesday at a rate of 0.30%. Proceeds from the sale will immediately be transferred to the Federal Reserve to fund its operations to improve liquidity in money markets. The sale was needed to help the Fed expand its balance sheets, which has been shrinking as it lent out cash to banks and primary dealers to keep the financial system working.
</p></blockquote>
<p>Not nearly as bad as <a href="?p=95">this scenario</a>, where </p>
<blockquote><p>
&#8230; the accounting trick is simply for the Federal Reserve to “agree” to “buy” worthless assets like new government bonds that nobody else wants and for the government to turn right around to “fund” the Federal Reserve with the new money it got.
</p></blockquote>
<p>In fact, quite the opposite. I&#8217;m glad that people still want Treasury bills, even to the tune of zero (and perhaps soon to be negative) yield. I guess there is really no alternative. Where else is money to be kept &#8230; I would keep it where people/companies are most willing and able to produce valuable goods, but these are hard to identify clearly these days, so a proxy is as good as anything.</p>
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